Analysis 01
After the Last Connection
Where did late-evening reliability fall furthest across four fictional transit periods?
Trips within five minutes (%)
Reliability changes across the evening
FindingLate-evening services show the widest reliability gap in the synthetic sample.
Synthetic sample · 120 fictional scheduled trips · fixed seed HE-01

Analysis and meaning
I grouped 120 synthetic scheduled trips into four time periods, compared the share arriving within five minutes, and checked whether the pattern persisted across route groups. The fictional sample shows the widest reliability gap after 22:00, suggesting that an operations review should begin with late connections rather than a network-wide average.

